Appalachian State vs. Texas State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 4

Published 10:39 pm Friday, January 3, 2025

Saturday’s game at George M. Holmes Convocation Center has the Texas State Bobcats (8-6, 1-1 Sun Belt) matching up with the Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-7, 0-2 Sun Belt) at 1:00 PM ET (on January 4). Our computer prediction projects a close 70-69 victory for Texas State, so expect a competitive matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, Texas State is a good bet to cover the point spread, which is listed at 1.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 133.5 over/under.

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Appalachian State vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Boone, North Carolina
  • Venue: George M. Holmes Convocation Center
  • Line: Appalachian State -1.5
  • Point total: 133.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Appalachian State -112, Texas State -108

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Appalachian State vs. Texas State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Texas State 70, Appalachian State 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Appalachian State vs. Texas State

  • Pick ATS: Texas State (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (133.5)

Appalachian State has a 4-7-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Texas State, who is 7-5-0 ATS. A total of five out of the Mountaineers’ games this season have gone over the point total, and seven of the Bobcats’ games have gone over. The teams score an average of 145.9 points per game, 12.4 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Appalachian State is 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall while Texas State has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Appalachian State Performance Insights

  • The Mountaineers average 69.3 points per game (309th in college basketball) while allowing 65.3 per contest (43rd in college basketball). They have a +52 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by four points per game.
  • The 34.2 rebounds per game Appalachian State averages rank 119th in the country, and are 2.6 more than the 31.6 its opponents pull down per contest.
  • Appalachian State connects on 7.8 three-pointers per game (185th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.2 on average.
  • The Mountaineers’ 91.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 270th in college basketball, and the 86.5 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 91st in college basketball.
  • Appalachian State has committed 1.8 more turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 11.8 (205th in college basketball action) while forcing 10 (326th in college basketball).

Texas State Performance Insights

  • The Bobcats put up 76.6 points per game (153rd in college basketball) while allowing 68.7 per contest (114th in college basketball). They have a +110 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 7.9 points per game.
  • Texas State averages 33.9 rebounds per game (136th in college basketball) while conceding 27.7 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.2 boards per game.
  • Texas State hits 5.4 three-pointers per game (352nd in college basketball), 1.5 fewer than its opponents.
  • Texas State forces 11.4 turnovers per game (224th in college basketball) while committing 11.5 (175th in college basketball).

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