NBA Best Bets: Heat vs. Hornets Picks for October 26

Published 5:48 am Saturday, October 26, 2024

The Miami Heat (0-1) visit the Charlotte Hornets (1-1) in a matchup of Southeast Division teams at Spectrum Center, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 26, 2024. The Heat are 4.5-point favorites in the game, the first matchup between the squads this season.

Our computer predictions for Saturday’s game can assist you in placing an informed wager taking advantage of the best bets on the board.

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Heat vs. Hornets Game Info

  • When: Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina
  • TV: FDSSE and FDSSUN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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Heat vs. Hornets Best Bets

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Terry Rozier Over 15.5 PTS

  • Last season the Heat were the NBA’s 26th-ranked team offensively (110.1 points per game), while the Hornets ranked 22nd defensively in points per game (116.8) in the league.
  • Last season the Heat put up 110.1 points per game, 6.7 fewer points than the 116.8 the Hornets conceded.

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LaMelo Ball Over 23.5 PTS

  • The 28th-ranked scoring team in the NBA was Charlotte a season ago (106.6 points per game), while Miami was third-ranked defensively (108.4 points conceded per game).
  • Charlotte went 20-19 when it scored more than 108.4 points.

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Pick ATS: Hornets (+ 4.5)

  • Against the spread, Miami was 41-41-0 last year.
  • Charlotte beat the spread 34 times in 82 games last year.
  • Against the spread, as 4.5-point favorites or greater, the Heat went 10-13 last season.
  • The Hornets had an ATS record of 30-38 as underdogs of 4.5 points or more last year.

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Pick OU:

Under (223.5)

  • Heat games last season featured more combined points than this contest’s total of 223.5 points 29 times.
  • The Hornets combined with their opponent to score more than 223.5 points in 40 of 82 games last season.
  • Miami’s contests last season had an average of 220.7 points, 2.8 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
  • The average number of points in Charlotte’s matchups last year was 223.9, which is 0.4 fewer points than this game’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick: Hornets (+155)

  • The Heat were favored on the moneyline 47 total times last season. They finished 35-12 in those games.
  • The Hornets won 18, or 23.7%, of the 76 games they played as underdogs last season.
  • In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -190 or shorter last year, Miami finished with a record of 17-5 (77.3%).
  • Charlotte had a record of 15-52, a 22.4% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +155 or more by sportsbooks last season.
  • The Heat have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.5% in this matchup.

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